Forecasting the intensity of hurricane season months ahead of time is a complex challenge, especially when the atmosphere and oceans send mixed signals. But that’s not the case right now. With just over one month to go before hurricane season officially begins, the meaningful signs are pointing to an active season, and as a result, so are the major forecast centers. The latest seasonal forecast comes from Pennsylvania State University which is calling for 20 named storms (the average is 12) in the Atlantic. If that figure is reached, it would make 2020 the second most active season on record in terms of the number of storms.With this in mind, disaster experts are raising concerns about the government’s capacity to simultaneously manage the coronavirus crisis and a landfalling hurricane. “The ability to respond will be severely hindered,” said Jeff Schlegelmilch, deputy director of the National Center for Disaster Preparedness at Columbia University’s Earth Institute. We predict one of the most active Atlantic hurricane seasons on record (20±4 named storms) | “The 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: Penn State ESSC Forecast”: @PSUClimate @PSUEarth @PSUEMS— Michael E. Mann (@MichaelEMann) April 27, 2020 Each spring, various teams of experts put out

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